PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisVillarreal
Shots15 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.89 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.89 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Villarreal12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisVillarrealBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.95 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis
1Draws
0Villarreal
Villarreal — Real Betis · La Liga2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 4 · 6 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/19▲1.95 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/19▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/1912.9 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/1913.1 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/194.84 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/19▲3.53 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 20/1943.6%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/194.11 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/19▲4.26 corners/match
2.05 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/192.47 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/1912.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/1937%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/1984%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis57.5
Villarreal17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis82.5
Villarreal74.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis53.3
Villarreal66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis87.5
Villarreal82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis21.2
Villarreal52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5
Villarreal32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis58.8
Villarreal52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/537.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match
5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.8 shots/match
48.3%Possession10/1042.1%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 19 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored20/19▲1.95 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/19▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots20/1912.9 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target20/194.84 shots/match
50.1%Possession20/1943.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners20/194.11 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards20/192.47 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.56 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots10/99.89 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.44 shots/match
51%Possession10/936.6%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/92.78 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/93.67 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/912.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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