UEFA Champions League · 2025Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta 2–3 Athletic Club · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–3.

Shots
144
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.991.74
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Atalanta 3–2. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Athletic Club): shots 14–4, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.99–1.74, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club have a visible away split

weak

Athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Athletic Club10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsAtalanta 14 shots, Athletic Club 4 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAtalanta 4 shots, Athletic Club 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG1.74 xGAtalanta 1.99 xG, Athletic Club 1.74 xG
  • Possession70%30%Atalanta 70%, Athletic Club 30%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersAtalanta 5 corners, Athletic Club 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsAtalanta 8 fouls, Athletic Club 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Bernasconi · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHonest Ahanor · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 3′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 1′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 74′ · 0.31 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.32 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.52 xG · goalNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 70′ · 0.62 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG. Athletic Club: 4 shots, 3 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 16′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 88′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 58′Nico Serrano · Athletic Club · 70′Robert Navarro · Athletic Club · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.99 xG · Athletic Club 1.72 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta7 matchesAthletic Club7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.26 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
51% ●Possession7/741.9%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls7/717 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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