PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Getafe

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealGetafe
Shots10 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Getafe in 1 · 5 too close

2.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.87 goals/match
0.87 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/159.2 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲10.3 shots/match
5.07 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/152.67 shots/match
3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.33 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 15/1540.3%
4.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154.8 corners/match
3.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.27 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/152.73 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1515.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal32.5
Getafe7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal79.2
Getafe8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal75.8
Getafe63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal77.5
Getafe37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal66.2
Getafe87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal37.5
Getafe52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal58.8
Getafe36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/543%
3 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.5 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1042.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
2.07 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
0.87 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots15/159.2 shots/match
5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.67 shots/match
46.8%Possession15/1540.3%
4.47 corners/matchCorners15/154.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards15/152.73 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots8/88.38 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.5 shots/match
54.4%Possession8/839.6%
5.88 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/814.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVillarrealGetafe
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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