PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap
3–5Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisBarcelona
Shots17 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession38%62%
Corners7 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Barcelona19.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisBarcelonaBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match19.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match9.38 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.8 goals/match2.94 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

6.09 days▲Rest daysReal Betis · Barcelona3.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisBarcelonaBaseline
Rest days6.09 days3.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 8 · 5 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/16▲2.94 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/161.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/16▲19.7 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/16▲9.38 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/16▲7.75 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/16▲3.5 shots/match
50.3%Possessionseason · 15/1666.9%
4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/166.5 corners/match
5.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/16▲4.75 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/16▲1.88 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/169.56 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%
93%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/16▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis57.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis80
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis59.2
Barcelona76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis87.5
Barcelona82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis33.8
Barcelona5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5
Barcelona92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis56.9
Barcelona72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.2 shots/match
47.2%Possession5/563.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.6 shots/match
50.4%Possession10/1063.9%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.6 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 16 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲2.94 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/matchShots15/16▲19.7 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲7.75 shots/match
50.3%Possession15/1666.9%
4.93 corners/matchCorners15/166.5 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards15/161.88 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls15/169.56 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲19.1 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲7.75 shots/match
50.1%Possession8/867.6%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/86.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/82.75 cards/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls8/89.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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