UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 17:45 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap

Villarreal

LDLLL

2–3Full-time recap

FC København

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	FC København
Shots	19 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.94 xG/match▲	1.5 xG/match
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Villarreal: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG. FC København: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.95 xG · FC København 1.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC København's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC København show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC København's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · FC København11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	FC København	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.67 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.7 fouls/match▲FoulsVillarreal · FC København15.4 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	FC København	Baseline
Fouls	12.7 fouls/match	15.4 fouls/match	11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · FC København in 7 · 3 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/12▲1.75 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/12▲1.42 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.45 xG/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.99 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/1211.8 shots/match

9.67 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/1211.6 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/12▲5.08 shots/match

4.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/12▲3.92 shots/match

44.2%Possessionseason · 6/1249.3%

3.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/124.67 corners/match

3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/123.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/1215.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/12▲42%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/12▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal13.1

FC København45.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal27.1

FC København48.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal54.8

FC København61.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal77.4

FC København32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal70.2

FC København89.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal9.5

FC København51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal38.1

FC København57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.37 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

44.6%Possession5/545.6%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 10 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/10▲1.8 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.45 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/1011.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/10▲5.2 shots/match

44.2%Possession6/1046.3%

3.17 corners/matchCorners6/104.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/1015.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 12 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/12▲1.75 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/12▲1.42 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.45 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/1211.8 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/12▲5.08 shots/match

44.2%Possession6/1249.3%

3.17 corners/matchCorners6/124.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/1215.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 6 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/60.83 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.68 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.94 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots3/610.3 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/63.5 shots/match

43.7%Possession3/650.8%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/65.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/615.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

FC København show a distinct attacking-volume record

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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