PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 2–3 FC København · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC København won 2–3.

Shots
198
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.941.5
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC København beat Villarreal 3–2. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – FC København): shots 19–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.94–1.5, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC København show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC København's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · FC København11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealFC KøbenhavnBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsVillarreal · FC København15.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealFC KøbenhavnBaseline
Fouls12.7 fouls/match15.4 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsVillarreal 19 shots, FC København 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVillarreal 5 shots, FC København 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG1.5 xGVillarreal 1.94 xG, FC København 1.5 xG
  • Possession52%48%Villarreal 52%, FC København 48%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersVillarreal 6 corners, FC København 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsVillarreal 14 fouls, FC København 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobert · FC København · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafa Marín · Villarreal · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert · FC København · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMads Emil Madsen · FC København · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.09 xG · goalElias Achouri · FC København · 48′ · 0.11 xG · goalViktor Bjarki Dadason · FC København · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.22 xG · goalPau Navarro · Villarreal · 43′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Cornelius · FC København · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 88′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 2′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG. FC København: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Santi Comesaña · Villarreal · 47′Tani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 56′Mohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 2′Elias Achouri · FC København · 48′Andreas Cornelius · FC København · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.95 xG · FC København 1.47 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC København in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal6 matchesFC København12 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/12▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.45 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/1211.8 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/12▲ 5.08 shots/match
44.2%Possession6/12● 49.3%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/12● 4.67 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/1215.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealFC København
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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