La Liga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealOsasuna
Shots26 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/matchShotsVillarreal · Osasuna8.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealOsasunaBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match8.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against6.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal have a visible home split

weak

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23.3 shots/match17.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2%PossessionVillarreal · Osasuna42%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealOsasunaBaseline
Possession52.2%42%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 6 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
17.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/58.6 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/515.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/54.8 shots/match
52.2%Possessionseason · 5/542%
6.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/51.8 corners/match
2.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/540%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal57.5
Osasuna22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal88.3
Osasuna19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal86.7
Osasuna45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal97.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal26.2
Osasuna65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal77.5
Osasuna7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal67.5
Osasuna25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
17.2 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/542%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
17.2 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/542%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
17.2 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/542%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
23.3 shots/matchShots3/36 shots/match
8.33 shots/matchShots on target3/32 shots/match
62.3%Possession3/339.3%
8.33 corners/matchCorners3/31 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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