PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 2–1 Osasuna · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–1.

Shots
266
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.551.8
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Osasuna 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Osasuna): shots 26–6, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.55–1.8, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Osasuna8.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealOsasunaBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match8.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against6.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal have a visible home split

weak

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23.3 shots/match17.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionVillarreal · Osasuna41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealOsasunaBaseline
Possession52.2%41.8%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots6 shotsVillarreal 26 shots, Osasuna 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsVillarreal 8 shots, Osasuna 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.8 xGVillarreal 2.55 xG, Osasuna 1.8 xG
  • Possession66%34%Villarreal 66%, Osasuna 34%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersVillarreal 7 corners, Osasuna 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsVillarreal 10 fouls, Osasuna 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsVillarreal 2 cards, Osasuna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilias Akhomach · Villarreal · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThomas Partey · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPau Navarro · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRenato Veiga · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 85′ · 0.02 xG · goalNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRafa Marín · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 19′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.19 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 35′ · 0.24 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 88′ · 0.31 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 33′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJuan Cruz · Osasuna · 3′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.38 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 26 shots, 8 on target, 2.64 xG. Osasuna: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Georges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 69′Pape Gueye · Villarreal · 85′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.64 xG · Osasuna 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Villarreal
2Draws
0Osasuna
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga4–2
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga2–2
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga3–1
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal5 matchesOsasuna5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.22 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match
5.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession5/541.8%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVillarreal — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required