La Liga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

WLDW

1–2Full-time recap

Sevilla

LLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Alaves	Sevilla
Shots	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	20 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	7 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.6 fouls/match▲FoulsAlaves · Sevilla15.6 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Alaves	Sevilla	Baseline
Fouls	16.6 fouls/match	15.6 fouls/match	12.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

8.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲10.6 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲11.2 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲3.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/54.2 shots/match

48.6%Possessionseason · 5/554.2%

4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53 corners/match

4.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56 corners/match

2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/53.2 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/515.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves42.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves27.5

Sevilla59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves55

Sevilla38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves12.5

Sevilla22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves75

Sevilla90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves42.5

Sevilla27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves48.1

Sevilla53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/554.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/554.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/554.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲11.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

50%Possession3/349%

5 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards3/33.33 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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