PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LLWDW
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaVillarreal
Shots16 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession65%35%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla, Villarreal. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Villarreal have a visible away split

weak

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match16.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla, Villarreal.

3.12 days▲Rest daysSevilla · Villarreal3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSevillaVillarrealBaseline
Rest days3.12 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Villarreal16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaVillarrealBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match16.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match8.33 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲16.3 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲8.33 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5.67 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲2.67 shots/match
56%Possessionseason · 6/649.3%
3 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲2.33 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲2 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5
Villarreal47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla53.3
Villarreal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla36.7
Villarreal83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla27.5
Villarreal97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla91.2
Villarreal38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla22.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla48.1
Villarreal67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/545.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲16.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match
56%Possession6/649.3%
3 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲16.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match
56%Possession6/649.3%
3 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲3 shots/match
63%Possession3/336.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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