PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

LLLDW
1–4Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteReal Madrid
Shots11 shots/match24 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Possession37%63%
Corners1 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante, Real Madrid. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Real Madrid19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteReal MadridBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match19.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against19.3 shots/match9.83 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante, Real Madrid.

3.31 days▲Rest daysLevante · Real Madrid3.22 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLevanteReal MadridBaseline
Rest days3.31 days3.22 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.3%▲PossessionLevante · Real Madrid60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteReal MadridBaseline
Possession37.3%60.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.33 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲19.5 shots/match
19.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲9.83 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲7.17 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲2.5 shots/match
37.3%Possessionseason · 6/660.8%
2 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66 corners/match
8.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.67 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.5 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.17 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲50%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante7.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante42.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante5.8
Real Madrid89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante57.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante73.8
Real Madrid7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante12.5
Real Madrid72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante35
Real Madrid65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.6 shots/match
37.2%Possession5/558.8%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.33 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲19.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲7.17 shots/match
37.3%Possession6/660.8%
2 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls6/69.17 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.33 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲19.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲7.17 shots/match
37.3%Possession6/660.8%
2 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls6/69.17 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots3/3▲22 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲8.67 shots/match
29.3%Possession3/354.7%
1.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.22 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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