La Liga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Santiago BernabéuFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
Shots16 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession72%28%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/matchShotsReal Madrid · Espanyol10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridEspanyolBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match10 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against9.6 shots/match16 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.4%PossessionReal Madrid · Espanyol37.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridEspanyolBaseline
Possession60.4%37.8%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 4 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
18.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/510 shots/match
9.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/516 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/55.8 shots/match
60.4%Possessionseason · 5/537.8%
5.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/52.2 corners/match
4.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/52 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
60%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid91.7
Espanyol41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid87.5
Espanyol24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid87.5
Espanyol57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid13.8
Espanyol65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid57.5
Espanyol15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid62.5
Espanyol36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
18.6 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
60.4%Possession5/537.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
18.6 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
60.4%Possession5/537.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
18.6 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
60.4%Possession5/537.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
Expected goals0/0
17 shots/matchShots3/2
5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2
67%Possession3/2
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
1.67 cards/matchCards3/2
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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