PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolValencia
Shots21 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol, Valencia. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia have a visible away split

weak

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

3.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots3.67 shots/match8.17 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol, Valencia.

3.11 days▲Rest daysEspanyol · Valencia2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEspanyolValenciaBaseline
Rest days3.11 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.2 shots/match8.17 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 5 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/68.17 shots/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/616 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/62.5 shots/match
5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65.5 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 6/645.2%
3.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65.33 corners/match
4.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/65.83 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/61.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol17.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol61.7
Valencia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol32.5
Valencia20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol82.5
Valencia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol55
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol27.5
Valencia57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol51.9
Valencia23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/56.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
41%Possession5/543.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots6/68.17 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match
40.8%Possession6/645.2%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.33 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots6/68.17 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.5 shots/match
40.8%Possession6/645.2%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.33 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/33.67 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/31.33 shots/match
44.8%Possession4/338.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/33.67 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/32.33 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 23 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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