PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
Shots13 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession44%56%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia have a visible home split

weak

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match8.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Athletic Club12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match8.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.8 corners/match▲CornersValencia · Athletic Club7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricValenciaAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners5.8 corners/match7 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 6 · 6 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12.6 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲8.8 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3.2 shots/match
45.4%Possessionseason · 5/550.2%
5.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/57 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲4.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia32.5
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia25
Athletic Club53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia31.7
Athletic Club68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia17.5
Athletic Club57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia22.5
Athletic Club41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia60
Athletic Club92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia31.9
Athletic Club63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/550.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/550.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/550.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/matchShots3/2—
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—
51.7%Possession3/2—
7 corners/matchCorners3/2—
1.33 cards/matchCards3/2—
12 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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