PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Thu, 25 Sept 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWLWL
1–1Full-time recap

Elche

DDWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaElche
Shots9 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession40%60%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna have a visible home split

weak

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match8.67 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%▲PossessionOsasuna · Elche57.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaElcheBaseline
Possession41.7%57.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 7 · 7 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲10 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲10.7 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/63.33 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.33 shots/match
41.7%Possessionseason · 6/657.5%
1.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/62.5 corners/match
4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.67 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna22.5
Elche82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna17.5
Elche39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna47.5
Elche72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna27.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna75
Elche43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Elche15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna26.9
Elche33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/555.4%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲10 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/63.33 shots/match
41.7%Possession6/657.5%
1.83 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲10 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/63.33 shots/match
41.7%Possession6/657.5%
1.83 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shots3/37.67 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
44%Possession3/349.7%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.33 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 Sept 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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