PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Thu, 25 Sept 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

LLWLL
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoBarcelona
Shots7 shots/match22 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Possession21%79%
Corners6 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.17 shots/match▲ShotsOviedo · Barcelona20.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoBarcelonaBaseline
Shots7.17 shots/match20.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against19.3 shots/match6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

37%▲PossessionOviedo · Barcelona72%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 35.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOviedoBarcelonaBaseline
Possession37%72%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 4 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲3.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
7.17 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲20.7 shots/match
19.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲6 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲8 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3 shots/match
37%Possessionseason · 6/672%
2.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66.33 corners/match
7.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲0.83 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲50%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo2.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo7.5
Barcelona90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo17.5
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo65
Barcelona6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo15
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo17.5
Barcelona70.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲20 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8 shots/match
38%Possession5/572.2%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/50.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲3.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲20.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match
37%Possession6/672%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/66.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/60.83 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲3.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲20.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match
37%Possession6/672%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/66.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/60.83 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲2.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7 shots/matchShots3/4▲21 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲7.75 shots/match
33%Possession3/472.3%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/47.5 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/40.75 cards/match
8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/49.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 Sept 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOviedoBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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