La Liga · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

DDWD
10Full-time recap

Oviedo

LLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheOviedo
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Elche's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche have a visible home split

weak

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match9.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Elche show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Elche's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.6 shots/matchShotsElche · Oviedo7.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheOviedoBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match7.2 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match18.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

57%PossessionElche · Oviedo40.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheOviedoBaseline
Possession57%40.2%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 0 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
9.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/57.2 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/518.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/52.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/56.8 shots/match
57%Possessionseason · 5/540.2%
2.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/51.8 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/57.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/511.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/520%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche82.5
Oviedo17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche38.3
Oviedo3.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche67.5
Oviedo10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Oviedo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche46.2
Oviedo67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche22.5
Oviedo5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche34.4
Oviedo13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/57.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
57%Possession5/540.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/57.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
57%Possession5/540.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/57.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
57%Possession5/540.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.3 shots/matchShots3/37.33 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/33 shots/match
65.3%Possession3/341%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.33 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards3/33.67 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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