PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAtletico Madrid
Shots8 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession43%57%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca have a visible home split

weak

Mallorca's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.4 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsMallorca · Atletico Madrid12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAtletico MadridBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match7.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%▲PossessionMallorca · Atletico Madrid59.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaAtletico MadridBaseline
Possession45.2%59.2%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Atletico Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12.6 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲7.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲2.6 shots/match
45.2%Possessionseason · 5/559.2%
4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/56.6 corners/match
4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca32.5
Atletico Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca49.2
Atletico Madrid65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca22.5
Atletico Madrid83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca62.5
Atletico Madrid32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca46.2
Atletico Madrid42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca45
Atletico Madrid80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca49.4
Atletico Madrid69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/559.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/559.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/559.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots3/3▲14 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match
40.7%Possession3/359%
3 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaAtletico Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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