PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
Shots15 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match▲CornersRayo Vallecano · Celta Vigo6.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoCelta VigoBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.83 corners/match4.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 2 · 8 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/60.83 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/612.2 shots/match
9.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/610.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/64 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/64.17 shots/match
56.2%Possessionseason · 5/655.3%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/66.83 corners/match
3.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/63.83 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/6▲1.5 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/611.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/60%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Celta Vigo67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55.8
Celta Vigo42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano51.7
Celta Vigo52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano52.5
Celta Vigo37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano63.8
Celta Vigo23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano67.5
Celta Vigo87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano65.6
Celta Vigo57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/552.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 6 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.83 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/612.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/655.3%
6 corners/matchCorners5/66.83 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/61.5 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/611.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 6 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.83 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/612.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/655.3%
6 corners/matchCorners5/66.83 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/61.5 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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