Bundesliga · 2025WWK Arena

FC Augsburg 2–5 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 2–5.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
1.23.77
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Augsburg 5–2. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – VfB Stuttgart): shots 13–13, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 1.2–3.77, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.3%PossessionFC Augsburg · VfB Stuttgart● 58.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession45.3%58.6%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsFC Augsburg 13 shots, VfB Stuttgart 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsFC Augsburg 7 shots, VfB Stuttgart 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG3.77 xGFC Augsburg 1.2 xG, VfB Stuttgart 3.77 xG
  • Possession40%60%FC Augsburg 40%, VfB Stuttgart 60%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersFC Augsburg 2 corners, VfB Stuttgart 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsFC Augsburg 11 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFC Augsburg 1 card, VfB Stuttgart 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHan-Noah Massengo · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.12 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 29′ · 0.19 xG · goalChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.33 xG · on targetNikolas Nartey · VfB Stuttgart · 7′ · 0.35 xG · on targetAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.35 xG · goalKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.38 xG · on targetNikolas Nartey · VfB Stuttgart · 31′ · 0.41 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.46 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 12′ · 0.81 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 83′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.32 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 13 shots, 8 on target, 3.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 57′Anton Kade · FC Augsburg · 71′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 12′Tiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 29′Nikolas Nartey · VfB Stuttgart · 31′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 58′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.32 xG · VfB Stuttgart 3.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
0Draws
5VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–0
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–1
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg27 matchesVfB Stuttgart27 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.75 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.96 shots/match
45.3%Possession27/27● 58.6%
4.59 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.37 corners/match
2.72 cards/matchCards25/252 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/279.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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