PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025WWK Arena

FC Augsburg 2–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.650.48
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Köln 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FC Köln): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.65–0.48, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsFC Augsburg 14 shots, 1. FC Köln 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, 1. FC Köln 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.48 xGFC Augsburg 1.65 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.48 xG
  • Possession46%54%FC Augsburg 46%, 1. FC Köln 54%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersFC Augsburg 6 corners, 1. FC Köln 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls4 foulsFC Augsburg 15 fouls, 1. FC Köln 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardFC Augsburg 4 cards, 1. FC Köln 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · 1. FC Köln · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNoahkai Banks · FC Augsburg · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNoahkai Banks · FC Augsburg · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Lund · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCenk Özkaçar · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Lund · 1. FC Köln · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCenk Özkaçar · 1. FC Köln · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Chavez · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJahmai Simpson-Pusey · 1. FC Köln · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.29 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.69 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.68 xG. 1. FC Köln: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 55′Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.68 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
3Draws
21. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg24 matches1. FC Köln24 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.71 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.37 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots24/2412.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target24/244.33 shots/match
46.1%Possession24/24● 47%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners24/244.33 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards24/241.63 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls24/248.13 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Augsburg1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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