Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeEuropa-Park-StadionFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots10 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession37%63%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0SC Freiburg
1Draws
0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg · Bundesliga00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Freiburg favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 2 · 5 too close

1.48 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.13 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.7 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2311.3 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2314.7 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/234 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/235.61 shots/match
48%Possessionseason · 23/2346%
4.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/234.35 corners/match
4.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/234.74 corners/match
1.65 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/231.39 cards/match
9.57 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2335%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2357%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg52.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg44.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach20.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg54.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg47.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg23.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach33.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg30.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg32.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.8 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
37.4%Possession5/546.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
43.9%Possession10/1046.4%
4 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.13 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.7 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.4 shots/matchShots23/2311.3 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target23/234 shots/match
48%Possession23/2346%
4.39 corners/matchCorners23/234.35 corners/match
1.65 cards/matchCards23/231.39 cards/match
9.57 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 12 matches
1.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/121.08 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/121.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.6 shots/matchShots11/1211.6 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target11/124 shots/match
51.7%Possession11/1246.8%
4.91 corners/matchCorners11/124.75 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCards11/121.58 cards/match
9.18 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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