Bundesliga · 2025Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 4–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.81.52
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat FSV Mainz 05 4–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – FSV Mainz 05): shots 14–10, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.8–1.52, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split

moderate

FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.27 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · FSV Mainz 0511.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundFSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsBorussia Dortmund 14 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 8 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.52 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.8 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.52 xG
  • Possession55%45%Borussia Dortmund 55%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 45%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersBorussia Dortmund 7 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsBorussia Dortmund 3 cards, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Reggiani · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKacper Potulski · FSV Mainz 05 · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Süle · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNadiem Amiri · FSV Mainz 05 · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · FSV Mainz 05 · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNadiem Amiri · FSV Mainz 05 · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJobe Bellingham · Borussia Dortmund · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.08 xG · goalKacper Potulski · FSV Mainz 05 · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKacper Potulski · FSV Mainz 05 · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 15′ · 0.15 xG · goalFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.15 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.16 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSilas Katompa Mvumpa · FSV Mainz 05 · 21′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 84′ · 0.22 xG · goalNelson Weiper · FSV Mainz 05 · 88′ · 0.34 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.53 xG · goalNelson Weiper · FSV Mainz 05 · 88′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.83 xG. FSV Mainz 05: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 10′Maximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 15′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 42′Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.83 xG · FSV Mainz 05 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
21. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund22 matches1. FSV Mainz 0522 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.14 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.68 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.44 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.1 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.64 shots/match
54% ●Possession22/2244.7%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners22/225.14 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards22/222.64 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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