PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeWWK ArenaFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
Shots9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsFC Augsburg · Borussia Dortmund12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.78 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 9 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲12.6 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲9.78 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.78 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲2.67 shots/match
47.3%Possessionseason · 9/956.4%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96 corners/match
4.22 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/94.78 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲1.78 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲67%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Augsburg36.1
Borussia Dortmund80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Augsburg21.3
Borussia Dortmund60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Augsburg36.1
Borussia Dortmund91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Augsburg30.6
Borussia Dortmund2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg91.7
Borussia Dortmund44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg30.6
Borussia Dortmund88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Augsburg36.1
Borussia Dortmund68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/552.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match
47.3%Possession9/956.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/96 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/912.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match
47.3%Possession9/956.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/96 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/912.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/553.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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