PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025WWK Arena

FC Augsburg 0–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–1.

Shots
95
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.830.32
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat FC Augsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Borussia Dortmund): shots 9–5, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.83–0.32, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · Borussia Dortmund12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.78 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 9 shots, Borussia Dortmund 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotFC Augsburg 1 shot, Borussia Dortmund 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.32 xGFC Augsburg 0.83 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.32 xG
  • Possession47%53%FC Augsburg 47%, Borussia Dortmund 53%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFC Augsburg 4 corners, Borussia Dortmund 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsFC Augsburg 14 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardFC Augsburg 4 cards, Borussia Dortmund 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoahkai Banks · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.08 xG · goalElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.84 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.84 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
1Draws
2Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–1
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg9 matchesBorussia Dortmund9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.67 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.78 shots/match
47.3%Possession9/9● 56.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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