PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
Shots19 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession69%31%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsBayer Leverkusen · SC Freiburg11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5%▲PossessionBayer Leverkusen · SC Freiburg47.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Possession58.5%47.1%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer Leverkusen favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 2 · 6 too close

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/811.5 shots/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/812.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.38 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.25 shots/match
58.5%Possessionseason · 8/847.1%
3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.75 corners/match
5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲3.25 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/8▲2 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/88.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer Leverkusen86.1
SC Freiburg30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer Leverkusen80.6
SC Freiburg17.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer Leverkusen68.5
SC Freiburg62
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer Leverkusen19.4
SC Freiburg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen59.7
SC Freiburg22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen11.1
SC Freiburg11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer Leverkusen47.9
SC Freiburg6.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
62.8%Possession5/542%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/57.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots8/811.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
58.5%Possession8/847.1%
3.75 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/88.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots8/811.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
58.5%Possession8/847.1%
3.75 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/88.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/41.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/411 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/42.75 shots/match
60.8%Possession5/444.3%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/42.25 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/41.75 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/47.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match