PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 1–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Nice

LLDDD
1–1Historical match

RC Lens

LWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice and RC Lens drew 1–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.071.53
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice and Lens drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – Lens): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.07–1.53, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Lens16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceLensBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match16.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.06 corners/matchCornersNice · Lens● 6.13 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNiceLensBaseline
Corners5.06 corners/match6.13 corners/match4.56 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsNice 9 shots, RC Lens 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNice 2 shots, RC Lens 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.53 xGNice 1.07 xG, RC Lens 1.53 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nice 46%, RC Lens 54%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersNice 7 corners, RC Lens 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsNice 11 fouls, RC Lens 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsNice 2 cards, RC Lens 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Allan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Lens · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaïl Boudache · Nice · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 17′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 4′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAli Abdi · Nice · 84′ · 0.25 xG · goalAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 60′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG. Lens: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ali Abdi · Nice · 84′Allan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 0.78 xG · Lens 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nice
1Draws
1RC Lens
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice32 matchesRC Lens31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored32/31▲ 1.97 goals/match
1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed32/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals32/31▲ 2 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots32/31▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target32/31▲ 5.48 shots/match
46.2%Possession32/31● 51.4%
5.06 corners/matchCorners32/31● 6.13 corners/match
2.26 cards/matchCards27/272.15 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required