PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 1–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Metz

DDLLD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–2.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
1.221.25
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monaco beat Metz 2–1. Recorded in this match (Metz – Monaco): shots 13–15, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 1.22–1.25, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible home split

moderate

Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.94 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match9.94 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.94 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · Monaco12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzMonacoBaseline
Shots9.94 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsMetz 13 shots, AS Monaco 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsMetz 1 shot, AS Monaco 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.25 xGMetz 1.22 xG, AS Monaco 1.25 xG
  • Possession34%66%Metz 34%, AS Monaco 66%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersMetz 5 corners, AS Monaco 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsMetz 10 fouls, AS Monaco 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsMetz 0 cards, AS Monaco 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Paul Pogba · Monaco · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Mbala · Metz · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · Metz · 49′ · 0.02 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Monaco · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBouna Sarr · Metz · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 61′ · 0.04 xG · goalMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Pogba · Monaco · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan Mbala · Metz · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · Metz · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBouna Sarr · Metz · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Stambouli · Metz · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTerry Yegbe · Metz · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 51′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBouna Sarr · Metz · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 90′ · 0.17 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 28′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 80′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.01 xG. Monaco: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jessy Deminguet · Metz · 49′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 61′Ansu Fati · Monaco · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 1.01 xG · Monaco 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Metz
0Draws
5AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Metz · Ligue 15–2
Metz — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–5
AS Monaco — Metz · Ligue 12–1
Metz — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Metz · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz32 matchesAS Monaco32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.73 xG/match
9.94 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.38 shots/match
48.7%Possession32/32● 53.6%
4.16 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.03 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards26/262.58 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls32/3213 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headMetz — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required