PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LWDDW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–2.

Shots
2510
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.871.22
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lens – Paris Saint Germain): shots 25–10, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.87–1.22, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average.

24.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots24.2 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.18 corners/matchCornersLens · Paris Saint Germain● 6.45 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLensParis Saint GermainBaseline
Corners6.18 corners/match6.45 corners/match4.65 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain.

5.01 days ▲Rest daysLens · Paris Saint Germain3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLensParis Saint GermainBaseline
Rest days5.01 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots10 shotsRC Lens 25 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsRC Lens 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.87 xG1.22 xGRC Lens 2.87 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.22 xG
  • Possession38%62%RC Lens 38%, Paris Saint-Germain 62%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersRC Lens 6 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls3 foulsRC Lens 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardRC Lens 0 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Lens · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Lens · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 20′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 80′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Lens · 46′ · 0.23 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.25 xG · goalWesley Saïd · Lens · 36′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 45′ · 0.29 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 25 shots, 10 on target, 2.56 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 29′Ibrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 2.56 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Lens
0Draws
5Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens33 matchesParis Saint-Germain33 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 2.21 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.99 xG/matchExpected goals33/332.1 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 17.9 shots/match
5.61 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 6.79 shots/match
51.3%Possession33/33● 69%
6.18 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.45 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards27/271.07 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/339.18 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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