Ligue 1 · 2025Wed, 13 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeStade Bollaert-DelelisFull-time recap

Lens

LWDDW

0–2Full-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lens	Paris Saint Germain
Shots	25 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.57 xG/match▲	1.09 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	3 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lens: 25 shots, 10 on target, 2.56 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 2.56 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.08 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average.

24.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	24.4 shots/match	16.5 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.12 corners/match▲CornersLens · Paris Saint Germain6.45 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Lens	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Corners	6.12 corners/match	6.45 corners/match	4.64 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain.

5.01 days▲Rest daysLens · Paris Saint Germain3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Lens	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Rest days	5.01 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lens

0Draws

1Paris Saint Germain

14 Sept 2025Paris Saint Germain — Lens · Ligue 12–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lens favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Paris Saint Germain in 12 · 2 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲2.21 goals/match

1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲0.82 goals/match

2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲2.22 xG/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.72 xG/match

16.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲17.9 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲8.48 shots/match

5.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲6.79 shots/match

3.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲3.03 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 33/3369%

6.12 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/336.45 corners/match

3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲3.15 corners/match

2.15 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲1.07 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/339.18 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲55%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lens58.3

Paris Saint Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lens91.7

Paris Saint Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lens85.2

Paris Saint Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lens97.2

Paris Saint Germain80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lens55.5

Paris Saint Germain2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lens91.7

Paris Saint Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lens84.8

Paris Saint Germain73.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.89 xG/match

24.4 shots/match▲Shots5/517.6 shots/match

7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56.2 shots/match

59.6%Possession5/568%

8.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/56.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match

2 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2.22 xG/match

22.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1018.5 shots/match

6.7 shots/matchShots on target10/106.8 shots/match

56.2%Possession10/1070.3%

7.5 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/107.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.88 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲2.21 goals/match

1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲0.82 goals/match

2 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2.22 xG/match

16.5 shots/matchShots33/33▲17.9 shots/match

5.61 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲6.79 shots/match

51.3%Possession33/3369%

6.12 corners/matchCorners33/336.45 corners/match

2.15 cards/matchCards27/271.07 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/339.18 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches

2.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/162 goals/match

0.76 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/160.94 goals/match

2.58 xG/matchExpected goals4/32.57 xG/match

18.3 shots/match▲Shots17/1615.6 shots/match

6.41 shots/matchShots on target17/166.63 shots/match

52.2%Possession17/1668.6%

6.76 corners/matchCorners17/165.38 corners/match

1.79 cards/matchCards14/151.07 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls17/168.63 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Lens's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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