Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 0–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Metz

LLDLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–1.

Shots
246
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.270.87
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 beat Metz 1–0. Recorded in this match (Metz – Stade Brestois 29): shots 24–6, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.27–0.87, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.92 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots6 shotsMetz 24 shots, Stade Brestois 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotMetz 6 shots, Stade Brestois 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.87 xGMetz 1.27 xG, Stade Brestois 0.87 xG
  • Possession66%34%Metz 66%, Stade Brestois 34%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersMetz 12 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsMetz 14 fouls, Stade Brestois 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardMetz 2 cards, Stade Brestois 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koffi Kouao · Metz · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Mbala · Metz · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Mbala · Metz · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Colin · Metz · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiorgi Kvilitaia · Metz · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Michal · Metz · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Kvilitaia · Metz · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlpha Touré · Metz · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathan Mbala · Metz · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBelieve Munongo · Metz · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlpha Touré · Metz · 10′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 66′ · 0.23 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 37′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 69′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 24 shots, 6 on target, 1.30 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 1.30 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Metz
0Draws
4Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Metz · Ligue 13–2
Stade Brestois — Metz · Ligue 14–3
Metz — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Metz — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Metz · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz24 matchesStade Brestois24 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.33 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.41 xG/match
9.42 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.04 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 3.83 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession24/2442.3%
4.08 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.17 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards24/241.88 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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