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Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 2–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 2–0.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
1.090.94
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 beat Le Havre 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Le Havre): shots 11–14, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1.09–0.94, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Brestois 29's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois 29's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Le Havre 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsStade Brestois 2 shots, Le Havre 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.94 xGStade Brestois 1.09 xG, Le Havre 0.94 xG
  • Possession41%59%Stade Brestois 41%, Le Havre 59%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersStade Brestois 1 corner, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsStade Brestois 15 fouls, Le Havre 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardStade Brestois 3 cards, Le Havre 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ayumu Seko · Le Havre · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 71′ · 0.10 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · Stade Brestois 29 · 89′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 71′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 88′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG. Le Havre: 14 shots, 0 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 1.11 xG · Le Havre 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Stade Brestois
0Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois25 matchesLe Havre25 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.8 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.08 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots25/2510.8 shots/match
3.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.36 shots/match
42.2%Possession25/25● 46.6%
4.04 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.52 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards25/251.96 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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