PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 2–0 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 2–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.361.41
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monaco beat Stade Brestois 29 2–0. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Stade Brestois 29): shots 10–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.36–1.41, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.15 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8% ●PossessionMonaco · Stade Brestois 2942.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonacoStade Brestois 29Baseline
Possession52.8%42.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Stade Brestois 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAS Monaco 4 shots, Stade Brestois 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.36 xG1.41 xGAS Monaco 2.36 xG, Stade Brestois 1.41 xG
  • Possession56%44%AS Monaco 56%, Stade Brestois 44%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAS Monaco 3 corners, Stade Brestois 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsAS Monaco 9 fouls, Stade Brestois 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAS Monaco 2 cards, Stade Brestois 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 11′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 82′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 78′ · 0.24 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 68′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 19′ · 0.40 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 35′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 31′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 26′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.44 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 12 shots, 1 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 19′Aleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 2.44 xG · Stade Brestois 29 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AS Monaco
0Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–0
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–1
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–2
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco26 matchesStade Brestois26 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.31 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.4 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots26/2611.5 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.65 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession26/2642.3%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners26/264.19 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards25/251.92 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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