Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeParc Olympique LyonnaisFull-time recap

Lyon

WLLDD

1–2Full-time recap

Monaco

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lyon	Monaco
Shots	15 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match	2.21 xG/match▲
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lyon: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. Monaco: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 1.36 xG · Monaco 2.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.74 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lyon

0Draws

0Monaco

3 Jan 2026Monaco — Lyon · Ligue 11–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lyon favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Monaco in 1 · 6 too close

1.52 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲1.74 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.41 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/2712.2 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2713.3 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/274.33 shots/match

3.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.22 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 27/2752.4%

5.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/274.7 corners/match

4.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/274.44 corners/match

2.19 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/262.58 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

48%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2726%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2778%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lyon86.1

Monaco63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lyon64.8

Monaco65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lyon73.1

Monaco33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lyon13.9

Monaco30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lyon75

Monaco80.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lyon75

Monaco52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lyon75.7

Monaco58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.6 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/549.4%

3 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/41.75 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShots10/1011.7 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match

54.5%Possession10/1051.1%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCards10/92.22 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches

1.52 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲1.74 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.41 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.1 shots/matchShots27/2712.2 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target27/274.33 shots/match

55.3%Possession27/2752.4%

5.3 corners/matchCorners27/274.7 corners/match

2.19 cards/matchCards27/262.58 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match

0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.5 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.7 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134 shots/match

57%Possession13/1350.8%

5.69 corners/matchCorners13/134.54 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards13/133.08 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.75 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4