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Ligue 1 · 2025Orange Vélodrome

Olympique de Marseille 1–2 Lille · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

Lille

DWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.610.97
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Marseille 2–1. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Lille): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.61–0.97, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Marseille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsOlympique de Marseille 14 shots, Lille 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 3 shots, Lille 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.97 xGOlympique de Marseille 0.61 xG, Lille 0.97 xG
  • Possession55%45%Olympique de Marseille 55%, Lille 45%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersOlympique de Marseille 6 corners, Lille 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsOlympique de Marseille 8 fouls, Lille 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsOlympique de Marseille 1 card, Lille 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Romain Perraud · Lille · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Marseille · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetQuinten Timber · Marseille · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · Marseille · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 49′ · 0.09 xG · goalNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Marseille · 43′ · 0.15 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 84′ · 0.18 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 86′ · 0.25 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Marseille: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. Lille: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ethan Nwaneri · Marseille · 43′Thomas Meunier · Lille · 49′Olivier Giroud · Lille · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 0.59 xG · Lille 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Olympique de Marseille
3Draws
2Lille
Lille — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–1
Olympique de Marseille — Lille · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille27 matchesLille27 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.56 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.26 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.59 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots27/2713.9 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.48 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession27/2754.8%
5 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.96 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards25/252.32 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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