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Ligue 1 · 2025Orange Vélodrome

Olympique de Marseille 1–0 Auxerre · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

Auxerre

DWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 1–0.

Shots
168
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.880.31
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Auxerre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Auxerre): shots 16–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.88–0.31, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.73 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionMarseille · Auxerre43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMarseilleAuxerreBaseline
Possession57.6%43.7%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMarseille · Auxerre10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMarseilleAuxerreBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsOlympique de Marseille 16 shots, Auxerre 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsOlympique de Marseille 3 shots, Auxerre 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG0.31 xGOlympique de Marseille 0.88 xG, Auxerre 0.31 xG
  • Possession58%42%Olympique de Marseille 58%, Auxerre 42%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersOlympique de Marseille 9 corners, Auxerre 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsOlympique de Marseille 12 fouls, Auxerre 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsOlympique de Marseille 4 cards, Auxerre 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sékou Mara · Auxerre · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · Marseille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Auxerre · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRomain Faivre · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetElisha Owusu · Auxerre · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 54′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 79′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Marseille: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Auxerre: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Amine Gouiri · Marseille · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 0.89 xG · Auxerre 0.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille
0Draws
2Auxerre
Auxerre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–1
Auxerre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–0
Olympique de Marseille — Auxerre · Ligue 11–3
Olympique de Marseille — Auxerre · Ligue 12–1
Auxerre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Auxerre in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille26 matchesAuxerre26 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.73 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.05 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.7 shots/match
5.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.19 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession26/2643.7%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners26/264.85 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards25/252.48 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Auxerre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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