PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade du Moustoir

Lorient 2–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Lorient

LWDDD
2–1Historical match

RC Lens

WWLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient won 2–1.

Shots
620
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.451.34
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient beat Lens 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Lens): shots 6–20, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.45–1.34, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots20 shotsLorient 6 shots, RC Lens 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsLorient 3 shots, RC Lens 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.34 xGLorient 1.45 xG, RC Lens 1.34 xG
  • Possession34%66%Lorient 34%, RC Lens 66%
  • Corners1 corner10 cornersLorient 1 corner, RC Lens 10 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsLorient 6 fouls, RC Lens 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLorient 2 cards, RC Lens 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Montassar Talbi · Lorient · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Bermont · Lens · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 49′ · 0.06 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRayan Fofana · Lens · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 34′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 39′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 77′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 65′ · 0.44 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 18′ · 0.55 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 18′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.88 xG. Lens: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ahmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 18′Aiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 65′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 1.88 xG · Lens 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lorient
1Draws
4RC Lens
RC Lens — Lorient · Ligue 13–0
RC Lens — Lorient · Ligue 12–0
Lorient — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
Lorient — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Lorient · Ligue 15–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient26 matchesRC Lens26 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.94 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.23 shots/match
44.9%Possession26/26● 49.8%
3.19 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.85 corners/match
1.76 cards/matchCards25/252.12 cards/match
9.73 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLorient — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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