PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 0–4 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Nice

DDLDL
0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 0–4.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
2.151.66
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Nice 4–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Rennes): shots 14–12, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 2.15–1.66, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Rennes13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceRennesBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsNice 14 shots, Stade Rennais 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsNice 2 shots, Stade Rennais 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.66 xGNice 2.15 xG, Stade Rennais 1.66 xG
  • Possession40%60%Nice 40%, Stade Rennais 60%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerNice 7 corners, Stade Rennais 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsNice 9 fouls, Stade Rennais 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNice 2 cards, Stade Rennais 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mousa Tamari · Rennes · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Louchet · Nice · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNordan Mukiele · Rennes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalMousa Tamari · Rennes · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Nice · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Rennes · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 13′ · 0.08 xG · goalKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 74′ · 0.12 xG · goalKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 65′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 44′ · 0.17 xG · on targetArnaud Nordin · Rennes · 31′ · 0.18 xG · on targetSebastian Szymański · Rennes · 20′ · 0.22 xG · goalMorgan Sanson · Nice · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKaïl Boudache · Nice · 69′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 90′ · 0.56 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 36′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 14 shots, 2 on target, 2.28 xG. Rennes: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 13′Sebastian Szymański · Rennes · 20′Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 74′Nordan Mukiele · Rennes · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 2.28 xG · Rennes 1.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nice
0Draws
2Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–2
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice25 matchesStade Rennais25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.52 shots/match
47.8%Possession25/25● 52.3%
5.12 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.36 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCards25/251.92 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required