PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Roazhon Park

Stade Rennais 3–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 3–1.

Shots
1322
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.363.62
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Paris Saint Germain 3–1. Recorded in this match (Rennes – Paris Saint Germain): shots 13–22, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.36–3.62, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.55 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRennes · Paris Saint Germain17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRennesParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match17.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match8.68 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rennes have a visible home split

moderate

Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots22 shotsStade Rennais 13 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 22 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsStade Rennais 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG3.62 xGStade Rennais 1.36 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.62 xG
  • Possession33%67%Stade Rennais 33%, Paris Saint-Germain 67%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersStade Rennais 5 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsStade Rennais 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsStade Rennais 0 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mahamadou Nagida · Rennes · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Rennes · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArnaud Nordin · Rennes · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Rennes · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 69′ · 0.07 xG · goalLudovic Blas · Rennes · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 50′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.25 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 71′ · 0.31 xG · goalDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 12′ · 0.32 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.34 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 81′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rennes: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 22 shots, 7 on target, 3.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Mousa Tamari · Rennes · 34′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 69′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 81′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rennes 1.38 xG · Paris Saint Germain 3.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Rennais
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 15–0
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais22 matchesParis Saint-Germain22 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.23 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.97 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 17.7 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 6.77 shots/match
51.1%Possession22/22● 68.5%
5.55 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.23 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards22/221.09 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required