PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 1–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WWWWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
2.140.47
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lens – Le Havre): shots 15–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 2.14–0.47, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible away split

moderate

Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsLens · Le Havre13.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLensLe HavreBaseline
Fouls14.1 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match12.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsRC Lens 15 shots, Le Havre 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsRC Lens 3 shots, Le Havre 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG0.47 xGRC Lens 2.14 xG, Le Havre 0.47 xG
  • Possession54%46%RC Lens 54%, Le Havre 46%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRC Lens 4 corners, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsRC Lens 20 fouls, Le Havre 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRC Lens 1 card, Le Havre 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Malang Sarr · Lens · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLucas Gourna-Douath · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Gourna-Douath · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKyllian Antonio · Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 8′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRuben Aguilar · Lens · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalWesley Saïd · Lens · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 66′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 36′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 12′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.10 xG. Le Havre: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ruben Aguilar · Lens · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 2.10 xG · Le Havre 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
2Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Le Havre · Ligue 13–4
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens20 matchesLe Havre20 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.25 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.14 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots20/2011 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.6 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession20/2045.9%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners20/204.55 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards20/201.9 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required