PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Raymond-Kopa

Angers 2–5 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Angers

WLWWL
2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–5.

Shots
723
Shots on target
311
Expected goals
0.943.28
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Angers 5–2. Recorded in this match (Angers – Marseille): shots 7–23, shots on target 3–11, expected goals 0.94–3.28, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Marseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.11 shots/match ▲ShotsAngers · Marseille14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersMarseilleBaseline
Shots9.11 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.61 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%PossessionAngers · Marseille● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersMarseilleBaseline
Possession41.6%60%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots23 shotsAngers 7 shots, Olympique de Marseille 23 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots11 shotsAngers 3 shots, Olympique de Marseille 11 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG3.28 xGAngers 0.94 xG, Olympique de Marseille 3.28 xG
  • Possession34%66%Angers 34%, Olympique de Marseille 66%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAngers 6 corners, Olympique de Marseille 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsAngers 9 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAngers 1 card, Olympique de Marseille 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amine Gouiri · Marseille · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjibirin Harouna · Angers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilal Nadir · Marseille · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLouis Mouton · Angers · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Marseille · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Marseille · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 24′ · 0.05 xG · goalAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Marseille · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 36′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAmine Sbai · Angers · 45′ · 0.20 xG · goalIgor Paixão · Marseille · 71′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 88′ · 0.30 xG · goalHamed Junior Traorè · Marseille · 34′ · 0.36 xG · goalTimothy Weah · Marseille · 40′ · 0.43 xG · goalTimothy Weah · Marseille · 4′ · 0.48 xG · on targetJim Allevinah · Angers · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goalAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 19′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG. Marseille: 23 shots, 11 on target, 3.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Amine Sbai · Angers · 45′Jim Allevinah · Angers · 90′Amine Gouiri · Marseille · 19′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 24′Hamed Junior Traorè · Marseille · 34′Timothy Weah · Marseille · 40′Igor Paixão · Marseille · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.97 xG · Marseille 3.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Angers
2Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 12–2
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 13–1
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers18 matchesOlympique de Marseille18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.28 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.91 xG/match
9.11 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 6.06 shots/match
41.6%Possession18/18● 60%
3.89 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.28 corners/match
1.39 cards/matchCards18/182.28 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAngers — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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