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Ligue 1 · 2025Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse 0–3 RC Lens · Ligue 1

0–3Historical match

RC Lens

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 0–3.

Shots
816
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.661.62
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Toulouse 3–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Lens): shots 8–16, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.66–1.62, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse have a visible home split

moderate

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.4%PossessionToulouse · Lens● 49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricToulouseLensBaseline
Possession40.4%49.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsToulouse 8 shots, RC Lens 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsToulouse 2 shots, RC Lens 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.62 xGToulouse 0.66 xG, RC Lens 1.62 xG
  • Possession32%68%Toulouse 32%, RC Lens 68%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersToulouse 2 corners, RC Lens 8 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsToulouse 16 fouls, RC Lens 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsToulouse 2 cards, RC Lens 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Thauvin · Lens · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Hidalgo · Toulouse · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSantiago Hidalgo · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalRasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrija Bulatovic · Lens · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMark McKenzie · Toulouse · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSaud Abdulhamid · Lens · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 85′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 57′ · 0.15 xG · goalAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 85′ · 0.15 xG · goalEmersonn · Toulouse · 11′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 15′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 70′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.67 xG. Lens: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Wesley Saïd · Lens · 57′Adrien Thomasson · Lens · 85′Ismaelo Ganiou · Lens · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 0.67 xG · Lens 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Toulouse
1Draws
3RC Lens
Toulouse — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Toulouse · Ligue 10–1
Toulouse — RC Lens · Ligue 10–2
RC Lens — Toulouse · Ligue 12–1
Toulouse — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse17 matchesRC Lens17 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.82 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.76 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.89 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.29 shots/match
40.4%Possession17/17● 49.3%
4.47 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.18 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/172.18 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headToulouse — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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