PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Paris FC · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–1.

Shots
206
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.711.01
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Paris FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC): shots 20–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.71–1.01, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Paris FC12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainParis FCBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.53 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris Saint Germain have a visible home split

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.3 shots/match17.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsParis Saint-Germain 20 shots, Paris FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsParis Saint-Germain 6 shots, Paris FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1.01 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.71 xG, Paris FC 1.01 xG
  • Possession70%30%Paris Saint-Germain 70%, Paris FC 30%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 7 corners, Paris FC 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls4 foulsParis Saint-Germain 7 fouls, Paris FC 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsParis Saint-Germain 1 card, Paris FC 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alimami Gory · Paris FC · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Cafaro · Paris FC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 53′ · 0.03 xG · goalNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdama Camara · Paris FC · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWillian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 77′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.61 xG · goalWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.72 xG. Paris FC: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 45′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 53′Willem Geubbels · Paris FC · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.72 xG · Paris FC 1.03 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Paris FC in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain17 matchesParis FC17 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.29 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.32 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.1 shots/match
6.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match
69.7% ●Possession17/1753.9%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners17/174.53 corners/match
1.18 cards/matchCards17/172.06 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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