Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade OcéaneFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

Angers

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLe HavreAngers
Shots11 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Carlens Arcus · Angers · 72′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNoam Obougou Jacquet · Le Havre · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarius Courcoul · Angers · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Bamba · Angers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 21′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarius Courcoul · Angers · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoam Obougou Jacquet · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.05 xG · goalYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Koffi · Le Havre · 78′ · 0.18 xG · on targetLouis Mouton · Angers · 55′ · 0.21 xG · goalKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.24 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.11 xG. Angers: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kenny Quetant · Le Havre · 21′Noam Obougou Jacquet · Le Havre · 81′Louis Mouton · Angers · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.11 xG · Angers 0.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers have a visible away split

moderate

Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.67 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season9.24 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match9.24 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Le Havre favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 4 · 5 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/171.06 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/171.18 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/179.24 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1714.6 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/173.53 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/175.35 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 17/1742%
4.53 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.76 corners/match
4.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/175.71 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/171.41 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1711.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1729%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Le Havre36.1
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Le Havre26.8
Angers14.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Le Havre54.6
Angers39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Le Havre63.9
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Le Havre55.5
Angers16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Le Havre41.7
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Le Havre50
Angers15.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
43%Possession5/549%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.6 shots/matchShots10/1010 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/1046%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.3 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.06 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.6 shots/matchShots17/179.24 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target17/173.53 shots/match
45.9%Possession17/1742%
4.53 corners/matchCorners17/173.76 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards17/171.41 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.4 shots/matchShots9/97.67 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/92.56 shots/match
49.9%Possession9/940.1%
5.33 corners/matchCorners9/93 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/91.22 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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