PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 2–0 Nice · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WWWWW
2–0Historical match

Nice

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 2–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.650.76
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Nice 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lens – Nice): shots 15–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.65–0.76, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLens · Nice11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLensNiceBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsRC Lens 15 shots, Nice 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsRC Lens 5 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.76 xGRC Lens 1.65 xG, Nice 0.76 xG
  • Possession46%54%RC Lens 46%, Nice 54%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersRC Lens 2 corners, Nice 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsRC Lens 17 fouls, Nice 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsRC Lens 0 cards, Nice 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mamadou Sangare · Lens · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSamson Baidoo · Lens · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsak Jansson · Nice · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · Lens · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 15′ · 0.05 xG · goalRuben Aguilar · Lens · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 17′ · 0.08 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 57′ · 0.31 xG · goalHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 37′ · 0.49 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 88′ · 0.65 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.69 xG. Nice: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 15′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 1.69 xG · Nice 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Lens
1Draws
4Nice
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens16 matchesNice16 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.19 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.81 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.14 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.1 shots/match
5.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.94 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession16/1647.7%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners16/164.94 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/162.31 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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