PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 1–4 RC Lens · Ligue 1

1–4Historical match

RC Lens

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–4.

Shots
1620
Shots on target
612
Expected goals
2.833.16
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Monaco 4–1. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Lens): shots 16–20, shots on target 6–12, expected goals 2.83–3.16, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens have a visible away split

moderate

Lens's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionMonaco · Lens45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonacoLensBaseline
Possession55.4%45.7%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots20 shotsAS Monaco 16 shots, RC Lens 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots12 shotsAS Monaco 6 shots, RC Lens 12 shots
  • Expected goals2.83 xG3.16 xGAS Monaco 2.83 xG, RC Lens 3.16 xG
  • Possession50%50%AS Monaco 50%, RC Lens 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAS Monaco 5 corners, RC Lens 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsAS Monaco 15 fouls, RC Lens 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAS Monaco 1 card, RC Lens 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Lens · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · Monaco · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 9′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 39′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLucas Michal · Monaco · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · Monaco · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 40′ · 0.08 xG · goalJonathan Gradit · Lens · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 62′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 89′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 70′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 6′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 17′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 43′ · 0.18 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 60′ · 0.19 xG · goalMamadou Sangare · Lens · 45′ · 0.23 xG · goalAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 78′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRayan Fofana · Lens · 82′ · 0.33 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 21′ · 0.42 xG · goalRayan Fofana · Lens · 81′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 21′ · 0.49 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 90′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goalAnsu Fati · Monaco · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 16 shots, 6 on target, 3.26 xG. Lens: 20 shots, 12 on target, 3.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 37′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 21′Wesley Saïd · Lens · 40′Mamadou Sangare · Lens · 45′Wesley Saïd · Lens · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 3.26 xG · Lens 3.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AS Monaco
1Draws
2RC Lens
RC Lens — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–0
AS Monaco — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3
AS Monaco — RC Lens · Ligue 13–0
RC Lens — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco12 matchesRC Lens12 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.88 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots12/1213.2 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.08 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession12/1245.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards12/122.5 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1213 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAS Monaco — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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