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Ligue 1 · 2025Orange Vélodrome

Olympique de Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 3–0.

Shots
194
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
3.460.74
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Stade Brestois 29 3–0. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Stade Brestois 29): shots 19–4, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.46–0.74, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois 29's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Marseille.

6.83 days ▲Rest daysMarseille · Stade Brestois 295.84 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMarseilleStade Brestois 29Baseline
Rest days6.83 days5.84 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 19 shots, Stade Brestois 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsOlympique de Marseille 7 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.46 xG0.74 xGOlympique de Marseille 3.46 xG, Stade Brestois 0.74 xG
  • Possession64%36%Olympique de Marseille 64%, Stade Brestois 36%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersOlympique de Marseille 6 corners, Stade Brestois 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsOlympique de Marseille 12 fouls, Stade Brestois 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardOlympique de Marseille 0 cards, Stade Brestois 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Igor Paixão · Marseille · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarryl Bakola · Marseille · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Vermeeren · Marseille · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarryl Bakola · Marseille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Marseille · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Marseille · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 46′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Marseille · 25′ · 0.11 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 36′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 1′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′ · 0.38 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 6′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 64′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Marseille · 58′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 82′ · 0.62 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Marseille: 19 shots, 7 on target, 3.46 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Angel Gomes · Marseille · 25′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 33′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 3.46 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille
0Draws
2Stade Brestois
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–1
Stade Brestois — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–5
Stade Brestois — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille12 matchesStade Brestois12 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.48 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1211.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.58 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession12/1243.7%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners12/124.58 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/121.58 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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