Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 1–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

Nantes

DLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre and Nantes drew 1–1.

Shots
175
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.940.21
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre and Nantes drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Nantes): shots 17–5, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.94–0.21, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Le Havre.

6.07 days ▲Rest daysLe Havre · Nantes6.07 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLe HavreNantesBaseline
Rest days6.07 days6.07 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsLe Havre 17 shots, Nantes 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsLe Havre 4 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.21 xGLe Havre 0.94 xG, Nantes 0.21 xG
  • Possession65%35%Le Havre 65%, Nantes 35%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersLe Havre 8 corners, Nantes 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsLe Havre 15 fouls, Nantes 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsLe Havre 3 cards, Nantes 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · Le Havre · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChidozie Awaziem · Nantes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetReda Khadra · Le Havre · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedReda Khadra · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLouis Leroux · Nantes · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 4′ · 0.07 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalLoic Négo · Le Havre · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 17 shots, 4 on target, 0.93 xG. Nantes: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gautier Lloris · Le Havre · 90′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.93 xG · Nantes 0.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Le Havre
1Draws
1Nantes
Le Havre — Nantes · Ligue 13–2
Nantes — Le Havre · Ligue 10–2
Le Havre — Nantes · Ligue 10–1
Nantes — Le Havre · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre12 matchesNantes12 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.79 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/122.58 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession12/1242.8%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners12/123.75 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards12/121.67 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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