Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

LDWDL
20Full-time recap

Auxerre

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersAuxerre
Shots9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession49%51%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Amine Sbai · Angers · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Auxerre · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · Auxerre · 65′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHimad Abdelli · Angers · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHimad Abdelli · Angers · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Sierralta · Auxerre · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLouis Mouton · Angers · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSékou Mara · Auxerre · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDjibirin Harouna · Angers · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKévin Danois · Auxerre · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlens Arcus · Angers · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Auxerre · 30′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRudy Matondo · Auxerre · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 43′ · 0.11 xG · on targetClement Akpa · Angers · 71′ · 0.15 xG · goalLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 16′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 87′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 10 shots, 6 on target, 0.76 xG. Auxerre: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Clement Akpa · Angers · 71′Prosper Peter · Angers · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.76 xG · Auxerre 0.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Angers, Auxerre. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Angers, Auxerre.

7 daysRest daysAngers · Auxerre7.84 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAngersAuxerreBaseline
Rest days7 days7.84 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Auxerre in 5 · 4 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/120.58 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.58 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
8.92 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1210.5 shots/match
14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1211.9 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/123.33 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.75 shots/match
39.1%Possessionseason · 12/1245.4%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.67 corners/match
5.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124.33 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/122.67 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1213.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Auxerre30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers10.2
Auxerre13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers34.2
Auxerre34.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers13.9
Auxerre19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers16.6
Auxerre83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers19.4
Auxerre52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers16.6
Auxerre43
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10 shots/matchShots5/59.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
43%Possession5/547%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/102.9 shots/match
42.1%Possession10/1045.6%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.58 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
8.92 shots/matchShots12/1210.5 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target12/123.33 shots/match
39.1%Possession12/1245.4%
4 corners/matchCorners12/124.67 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards12/122.67 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots6/610.5 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/64.17 shots/match
42.3%Possession6/645.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.84 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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