PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 3–3 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain and RC Strasbourg drew 3–3.

Shots
2112
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
2.672.15
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain and Strasbourg drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Strasbourg): shots 21–12, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 2.67–2.15, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

70.8% ●PossessionParis Saint Germain · Strasbourg48.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainStrasbourgBaseline
Possession70.8%48.9%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Strasbourg11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainStrasbourgBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.38 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots12 shotsParis Saint-Germain 21 shots, RC Strasbourg 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsParis Saint-Germain 9 shots, RC Strasbourg 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG2.15 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.67 xG, RC Strasbourg 2.15 xG
  • Possession71%29%Paris Saint-Germain 71%, RC Strasbourg 29%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 4 corners, RC Strasbourg 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, RC Strasbourg 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardParis Saint-Germain 2 cards, RC Strasbourg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Willian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 26′ · 0.04 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 22′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.19 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 53′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.24 xG · goalDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 41′ · 0.28 xG · goalJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 37′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 6′ · 0.35 xG · goalJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.42 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.47 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.62 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.74 xG. Strasbourg: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 6′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 58′Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 79′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 26′Diego Moreira · Strasbourg · 41′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.74 xG · Strasbourg 2.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–2
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain8 matchesRC Strasbourg8 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.5 shots/match
6.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/85.38 shots/match
70.8% ●Possession8/848.9%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/83.63 corners/match
0.88 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/811.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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