Nice
Ligue 1 · 2025This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | Nice | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5 shots/match | 29 shots/match▲ |
| Shots on target | 4 shots/match | 7 shots/match▲ |
| Possession | 31% | 69% |
| Corners | 1 corners/match | 16 corners/match |
| Fouls | 10 fouls/match | 11 fouls/match |
| Yellow cards | 1 cards/match▲ | 2 cards/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Nice: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG. Lyon: 29 shots, 7 on target, 3.47 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 0.74 xG · Lyon 3.47 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Lyon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Nice | Lyon | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.75 corners/match | 7.5 corners/match | 4.74 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Lyon show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateLyon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Nice | Lyon | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.6 shots/match | 14.1 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
| Shots against | 15.1 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Metric comparison
Values, percentiles and samples
Nice favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lyon in 9 · 4 too close
Style profile
How the teams compare
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Recent form
Season, last 10 and last 5
Window
Last 5
Window
Last 10
Window
Season
Venue split
Home and away samples
Window
Home team at home / away team away
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
More football
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