PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Orange Vélodrome

Olympique de Marseille 6–2 Le Havre · Ligue 1

6–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 6–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
4.010.49
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Le Havre 6–2. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Le Havre): shots 18–8, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 4.01–0.49, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Marseille's recent record differs from the season

weak

Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.63 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible away split

weak

Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMarseille · Le Havre11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMarseilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match9.63 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsOlympique de Marseille 18 shots, Le Havre 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsOlympique de Marseille 11 shots, Le Havre 3 shots
  • Expected goals4.01 xG0.49 xGOlympique de Marseille 4.01 xG, Le Havre 0.49 xG
  • Possession74%26%Olympique de Marseille 74%, Le Havre 26%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerOlympique de Marseille 2 corners, Le Havre 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsOlympique de Marseille 17 fouls, Le Havre 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsOlympique de Marseille 2 cards, Le Havre 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIgor Paixão · Marseille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · Marseille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIgor Paixão · Marseille · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 24′ · 0.06 xG · goalPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 19′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 67′ · 0.08 xG · goalIgor Paixão · Marseille · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Marseille · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIgor Paixão · Marseille · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 76′ · 0.29 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 72′ · 0.35 xG · goalAmir Murillo · Marseille · 90′ · 0.55 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 47′ · 0.70 xG · on targetRobinio Vaz · Marseille · 88′ · 0.71 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 35′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Marseille: 18 shots, 11 on target, 4.06 xG. Le Havre: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 35′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 67′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 72′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 76′Robinio Vaz · Marseille · 88′Amir Murillo · Marseille · 90′Yassine Kechta · Le Havre · 24′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 4.06 xG · Le Havre 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Olympique de Marseille
0Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–3
Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre · Ligue 15–1
Le Havre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille8 matchesLe Havre8 matches
2.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.25 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
2.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.33 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession8/843.9%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/83.75 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls8/815.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required