PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

DDLLL
1–1Full-time recap

Monaco

WWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersMonaco
Shots16 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Florent Hanin · Angers · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Hanin · Angers · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarlens Arcus · Angers · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · Monaco · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHaris Belkebla · Angers · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAmine Sbai · Angers · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKrépin Diatta · Monaco · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 80′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 69′ · 0.18 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 63′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 85′ · 0.19 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 72′ · 0.45 xG · goalProsper Peter · Angers · 32′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 30′ · 0.94 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.77 xG. Monaco: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sidiki Cherif · Angers · 85′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 1.77 xG · Monaco 1.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monaco's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Monaco have a visible away split

weak

Monaco's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

37%▲PossessionAngers · Monaco56.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersMonacoBaseline
Possession37%56.8%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Monaco in 6 · 5 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲2.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.13 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲12 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲12.5 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲3.63 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.38 shots/match
37%Possessionseason · 8/856.8%
4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.88 corners/match
5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.75 corners/match
1.63 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.25 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Monaco80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers8.3
Monaco53.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers28.7
Monaco53.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers41.7
Monaco8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers19.5
Monaco58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers47.2
Monaco58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers19.4
Monaco48.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/557.4%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.13 shots/matchShots8/8▲12 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.63 shots/match
37%Possession8/856.8%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.88 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.13 shots/matchShots8/8▲12 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.63 shots/match
37%Possession8/856.8%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.88 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shots4/48.75 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match
42%Possession4/457%
6.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/414.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersMonaco
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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