PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade du Moustoir

Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Lorient

LLDWL
3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient and Stade Brestois drew 3–3.

Shots
128
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.21.59
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient and Stade Brestois 29 drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Stade Brestois 29): shots 12–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.2–1.59, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient have a visible home split

weak

Lorient's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsLorient 12 shots, Stade Brestois 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsLorient 7 shots, Stade Brestois 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG1.59 xGLorient 1.2 xG, Stade Brestois 1.59 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lorient 50%, Stade Brestois 50%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersLorient 5 corners, Stade Brestois 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsLorient 13 fouls, Stade Brestois 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsLorient 3 cards, Stade Brestois 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lorient
0Draws
2Stade Brestois
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 14–0
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 11–2
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient8 matchesStade Brestois8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.67 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
44.3%Possession8/8● 44.9%
3 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.75 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards8/81.63 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLorient — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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